Fund titans are buying China stocks on bets that worst is over

FRANKLIN Templeton Investments and Eastspring Investments are joining a growing list of money managers snapping up Chinese stocks on bets that Beijing's pivot away from Covid Zero will bring significant gains.   

China's world-beating rally this month has solidified convictions that recent losses are a thing of the past, as a property rescue plan and easing of virus controls bolster sentiment. The MSCI China Index has gained more than 24 per cent in November, while a gauge of global shares has advanced just 5 per cent. 

"The worst is already priced in, and you've got plenty of upside for Chinese equities", said Bill Maldonado, chief investment officer at Eastspring in Singapore, which oversees US$222 billion. "You'd be buying now and expecting things to kind of rebound on a three- to six-month basis." 

The view is echoed by Templeton's Manraj Sekhon, who said "it's time to get involved in China if you haven't already".  

The bullish take from two investment veterans - who have more than half a century of markets experience combined - coincides with calls from Fidelity International and China Asset Management, which have also expressed confidence in the nation's assets.

The turnaround has been a long time coming. Chinese stocks had been sliding for more than a year, with as much as US$6 trillion being wiped off total market capitalisation between a peak last February and a low set last month when President Xi Jinping secured a third term. The rally then began due to easing of Covid restrictions and improving Sino-US ties. 

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index has jumped 25 per cent this month to be one of the best-performing major indexes globally, having led losses worldwide through October.  

Beijing's efforts to loosen some of its Covid restrictions are a step in "the right direction", said Templeton's Sekhon, whose firm oversees US$1.3 trillion. Along with thawing US-China relations that have "set a floor on market sentiment", local equities are now at an inflection point that present a chance to buy, he said.  

For Eastspring's Maldonado, the opportunities includes companies linked to the electronic vehicle boom, green technology and the semiconductor industry. 

"Valuations had gotten very cheap, and earnings expectations had gotten very, very low," he said. BLOOMBERG

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